Wake Forest
Men - Women
2012 - 2013 - 2014
Switch to All-time Team Page
RankNameGradeRating
273  Samantha Jones SO 20:33
369  Nicole Irving SR 20:45
399  Kaitlyn Oliver JR 20:47
734  Kristin Weisse SR 21:15
760  Ashley Brubaker SO 21:17
777  Kathleen Darling SO 21:18
852  Aubrey Waggoner JR 21:24
879  Ellie Abrahamson FR 21:25
1,991  Marie Johnston FR 22:35
National Rank #89 of 340
Southeast Region Rank #12 of 49
Chance of Advancing to Nationals 0.1%
Most Likely Finish 10th at Regional


National Champion 0.0%
Top 5 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 10 at Nationals 0.0%
Top 20 at Nationals 0.0%


Regional Champion 0.0%
Top 5 in Regional 5.6%
Top 10 in Regional 56.5%
Top 20 in Regional 100.0%


Race Performance Ratings


Times listed are adjusted ratings based on performance compared to other runners in race.


RaceDateTeam Rating Samantha Jones Nicole Irving Kaitlyn Oliver Kristin Weisse Ashley Brubaker Kathleen Darling Aubrey Waggoner Ellie Abrahamson Marie Johnston
Lehigh's Paul Short Run (Gold) 10/05 957 20:23 20:28 21:07 22:11 21:12 21:06 21:30 22:35
Pre-National Invitational (Blue) 10/19 1021 20:23 20:55 21:03 21:20 21:11 21:17 21:18
ACC Championships 11/01 1021 20:40 20:36 21:11 21:10 21:08 21:30 21:32
Southeast Region Championships 11/15 1128 20:50 21:26 20:58 22:19 21:46 21:23





NCAA Tournament Simulation


Based on results of 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament. Numbers in tables represent percentage of times each outcome occured during simulation.



Team Results

Advances to RoundAve FinishAve Score Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31
NCAA Championship 0.1% 29.2 687 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Region Championship 100% 10.0 301 0.5 1.7 3.4 5.8 8.4 11.1 12.5 13.1 12.3 12.0 8.6 6.3 2.6 1.1 0.4 0.1



Individual Results

NCAA ChampionshipAdvances to RoundAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 0.3% 123.5
Nicole Irving 0.1% 168.0
Kaitlyn Oliver 0.1% 138.0
Kristin Weisse 0.1% 221.0
Ashley Brubaker 0.1% 218.0
Kathleen Darling 0.1% 223.0
Aubrey Waggoner 0.1% 236.0


RegionalAve Finish Finishing Place
1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25
Samantha Jones 33.7 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.8 0.5 1.3 1.2 1.4 1.9 2.2 2.2 2.1 2.2 2.9 3.0
Nicole Irving 47.6 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.2 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.6 0.6 0.9 0.9
Kaitlyn Oliver 50.3 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.3 0.3 0.4 0.3 0.6 0.7
Kristin Weisse 87.2
Ashley Brubaker 89.2
Kathleen Darling 91.1
Aubrey Waggoner 99.5




NCAA Championship Selection Detail

Total
Region Finish Chance of Finishing Chance of Advancing Auto At Large Selection No Adv Auto At Large Region Finish
1 2 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
1 1
2 2
3 0.5% 20.8% 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.1 3
4 1.7% 1.2% 0.0 1.7 0.0 4
5 3.4% 3.4 5
6 5.8% 5.8 6
7 8.4% 8.4 7
8 11.1% 11.1 8
9 12.5% 12.5 9
10 13.1% 13.1 10
11 12.3% 12.3 11
12 12.0% 12.0 12
13 8.6% 8.6 13
14 6.3% 6.3 14
15 2.6% 2.6 15
16 1.1% 1.1 16
17 0.4% 0.4 17
18 0.1% 0.1 18
19 19
20 20
21 21
22 22
23 23
24 24
25 25
26 26
27 27
28 28
29 29
30 30
31 31
32 32
33 33
34 34
35 35
36 36
37 37
38 38
39 39
40 40
41 41
42 42
43 43
44 44
45 45
46 46
47 47
48 48
49 49
Total 100% 0.1% 0.0 0.0 0.0 99.9 0.0 0.1




Points



At large teams are selected based on the number of wins (points) against teams already in the championships. As a result, advancement is predicated on accumulating enough points before the last at-large selection. Accordingly, the points below are the total number of wins against automatic qualifiers or teams selected in the at-large process before the last selection. Minimum, maximum, and average points are number seen in 5,000 simulations of the NCAA Tournament.



Received By BeatingChance ReceivedAverage If >0Average
Eastern Kentucky 0.1% 1.0 0.0
Kansas 0.0% 1.0 0.0
Total 0.0
Minimum 0.0
Maximum 1.0